KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Dec 1, 2026 99%+82.0ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Before Dec 1, 2026 99%+82.0ptCalidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
7,6 mil €
Interés abierto
32,4 mil US$
Interés abierto altoSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado30 jun 26, 0:35 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Before Dec 1, 202699%
Before Apr 1, 202798%
Before Jan 1, 202795%
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
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FutuurWill María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen when María Corina Machado returns to Venezuela ? [add answers] (reupload)
Manifold MarketsWill Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsReglas
La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.
Liquida mediante:The Guardianofficial representatives or offices of María Corina MachadoFox Newsofficial social media accounts of María Corina Machado or her official representativesSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersofficial government sources of VenezuelaThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsAxiosABCCBSNBCBBC
- The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.