Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffAmérica Latina1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 17:24 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 74.6%
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado25 oct 25, 21:13 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if Machado serves in some leadership role in the Venezuelan government by the end of 2027.
- I would count basically any role that indicates she is serving in a leadership position, even something like "Advisor to the President."
- The "purpose" of this market is to roughly predict whether the government that succeeds Maduro would be another Madurist government or an opposition-led government.
- I will not bet in this market to remain objective.
- Also, context: https://thebsdetector.substack.com/p/the-nobel-committee-is-hungry-for
