FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 89%
No 89%Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
750,2 €
Baja liquidezTraders
6
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0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This event predicts whether Venezuelan political leader María Corina Machado will be arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, an arrest means physical detention by authorities with intent to hold in custody.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or records from Venezuelan authorities or other competent law enforcement bodies.
- If María Corina Machado is physically detained under arrest during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary questioning or harassment without arrest will not count.
