KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 48% 98%Líder entre 9 opciones
At least 48% 98%Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,6 mil €
Interés abierto
1,5 mil €
Interés abierto bajoSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
5 oct 26, 21:00 UTC25 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
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KalshiFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketReglas
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Flávio Bolsonaro's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 49%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 49% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 51%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 51% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 53%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 53% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.