Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónAmérica Latina1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Roraima 97%Líder entre 7 opciones
Roraima 97%Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
6 mil €
Interés abierto
7,4 mil €
Interés abierto medioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
5 oct 26, 21:00 UTC25 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
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PolymarketReglas
If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Tocantins in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Each market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Roraima
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Roraima in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tocantins
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Tocantins in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Minas Gerais
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Minas Gerais in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amapá
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amapá in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amazonas
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amazonas in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pará
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Pará in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alagoas
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Alagoas in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.