Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
5.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónAmérica Latina1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% 75%-5.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% 75%-5.0ptCalidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,9 mil €
Interés abierto
2,9 mil €
Interés abierto medioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
5 oct 26, 21:00 UTC25 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the share of valid votes (excluding blank and null votes) received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses. If Flávio Bolsonaro wins, the margin will be positive; if Flávio Bolsonaro loses, the margin will be negative; if Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥11%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 11%, then the market resolves to Yes.