KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Before 2027 49%+21.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Before 2027 49%+21.0ptCalidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
169,8 €
Interés abierto
19,7 mil €
Interés abierto medioSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
21 sept 26, 23:00 UTC1 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Before SeptemberPerdida
Before OctoberPerdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Grok 4.8+ (xAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWill xAI release a video game before 2027?
KalshiWill Legally Blonde 3 release before Grok 6?
Manifold MarketsWill xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI market share this week
KalshiDeepSeek market share this week
KalshiReglas
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:xAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before 2027
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before November
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Grok 5 (xAI) release date · Before 2027 52%
