KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore 2027 58.7%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
50 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
57,1 €
Liquidez
18,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
41.0% / 47.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
1 ene 26, 15:001 oct 26, 3:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before October40%
Comparar plataformas· Before 2027
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 64% | — | 57,1 € | 18,6 mil € | hace 19 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets90% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 5% | — | — | — | anteayer | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
1m
-11.0pt5.2%
-5.1pt2.3%
0%
+10 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario64 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$652 jul24d de datos27 jul
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If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.