KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 97%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
1.1% / 3.0%
Spread
1.9 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
12 mar 26, 14:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US defaults before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-0.7pt9%
- 3.8%+3.0pt8%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 211,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-27.0pt50%
- 4.85%-25.5pt41%
- 4.94%-10.0pt30%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%+5.5pt79%
- Below 4.73%+15.5pt76%
- Below 4.70%+9.0pt59%
+6 resultados más
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,1 mil €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.19% or above99%
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 mil €
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US defaults before 2027??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US defaults before 2027??
- Está previsto que US defaults before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US defaults before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado US defaults before 2027??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.