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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. US defaults before 2027?
US defaults before 2027?

US defaults before 2027?

One-OffBonds & TreasuriesUS PoliticsMacro & Economy6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 5%
Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

5,8 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

0.4% / 3.8%

Spread

850.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

12 mar 26, 14:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes5%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

0.1%Cerrados
Sí
Sí
3%
No
No
97%
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total13,6 mil €
Volumen 24h4,5 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Will South Korea issue at least ₩15T in KTBs in July 2026?

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When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)

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US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

1,1 €
Sí: 22%KalshiKALSHI
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

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Sí: 9%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi