KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 94%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
345,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
19 ago 26, 22:00 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-0.7pt9%
- 3.8%+3.0pt8%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 211,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-27.0pt50%
- 4.85%-25.5pt41%
- 4.94%-10.0pt30%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%+5.5pt79%
- Below 4.73%+15.5pt76%
- Below 4.70%+9.0pt59%
+6 resultados más
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,1 mil €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.19% or above99%
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 mil €
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US defaults before 2028??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US defaults before 2028??
- Está previsto que US defaults before 2028? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US defaults before 2028??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.