KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 92%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
4,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
88.0% / 92.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
5 may 26, 14:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US ban mail-in ballots for the 2026 midterm elections?
FutuurWill the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Anti-CBDC Act be signed into law in 2026?
FutuurWill the US ban software patents before 2033 ?
Manifold MarketsWill the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
If legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
- Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.
- The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
Mercados abiertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 35 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 resultados más
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US ban CBDC in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Yes al 92% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US ban CBDC in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the US ban CBDC in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US ban CBDC in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.