Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónAmérica Latina1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Flávio Bolsonaro · —
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Precio guardado
Flávio Bolsonaro 99.5%
Flávio Bolsonaro 99.5%Calidad del mercado
79 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
14,1 mil €
Interés abierto
28,7 mil US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
— / —
Flávio BolsonaroSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
22 oct 26, 22:00 UTC25 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Flávio Bolsonaro
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
Kalshi🇧🇷 Will Brazil’s 2026 presidential runoff be decided by less than 3 percentage points?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City
PolymarketReglas
If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO. The state of São Paulo is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast in São Paulo state; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result. Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Flávio Bolsonaro
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.