KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
39.7 to 39.9 55.5%+18.0ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
76 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
35,3 mil €
Liquidez
82,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
28 ago 26, 15:004 sept 26, 15:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1094,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 782,1 mil €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe+1.5pt30.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.6%
+38 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 181,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza 39.7 to 39.9 al 55% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- Está previsto que Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? se resuelva el 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.