PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
38.5–38.9 48%+14.5ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
925,9 €
Baja liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
28 ago 26, 22:024 sept 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? · 39.7 to 39.9 55%
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1094,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 724,5 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Anna Kelly26%
- Scott Jennings+1.0pt19.2%
- Maria Bartiromo16.4%
+26 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.8pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.2pt4.8%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 53,7 M €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 55,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 279,1 mil €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Fed Decision in October?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump approval rating on September 4??
- Polymarket cotiza 38.5–38.9 al 48% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump approval rating on September 4??
- Está previsto que Trump approval rating on September 4? se resuelva el 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump approval rating on September 4??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Trump approval rating on September 4??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.