KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Above 5.36% (99%)
Resuelto: 21 oct 2026, 22:30
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 21 oct 2026, 20:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Above 5.36%99%
Above 5.39%95%
Above 5.44%0%
Above 5.46%5%
Above 5.37%99%
Above 5.40%99%
Above 5.43%0%
Above 5.35%0%
Above 5.38%96%
Above 5.41%47%
Above 5.42%0%
Above 5.45%5%
Above 5.47%0%
Above 5.48%0%
Above 5.49%0%
Above 5.50%0%
Above 5.51%0%
Above 5.52%0%
Above 5.36%Ganada
Above 5.39%Perdida
Above 5.37%Perdida
Above 5.40%Perdida
Above 5.41%Perdida
Above 5.46%Perdida
Above 5.43%Perdida
Above 5.44%Perdida
Above 5.35%Perdida
Above 5.38%Perdida
Above 5.42%Perdida
Above 5.45%Perdida
Above 5.47%Perdida
Above 5.48%Perdida
Above 5.49%Perdida
Above 5.50%Perdida
Above 5.51%Perdida
Above 5.52%Perdida
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Manifold MarketsActivos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.36% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Pyth - 30Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Above 5.36%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.36% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.39%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.39% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.37%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.37% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.40%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.40% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.41%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.41% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.46%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.46% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.43%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.43% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.44%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.44% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.35%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.35% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.38%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.38% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.42%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.42% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.45%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.45% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.47%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.47% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.48%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.48% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.49%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.49% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.50%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.50% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.51%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.51% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.52%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.52% at Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.