GeminiDatos verificados limitadosAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 27 jul 2026, 3:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actualRaúl Castro 99%Líder entre 32 opciones
Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
30 abr 26, 18:381 ene 27, 0:00
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Raúl Castro99%
Comparar plataformas· Raúl Castro
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general94% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 99% | 0pt | 2,4 mil € | 358,4 mil € | hace 18 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Baja | 99% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 18 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
2.0 pts5m
99%
+2.0pt44%
+1.0pt35%
+38 resultados más
70 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total932,8 mil €
Volumen 24h2,4 mil €
KALSHIReglas
Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?
- If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?
- If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).