Probabilidad implícita actual
Labour Party 34.8%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
36.0% / 37.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
4 mar 26, 17:511 ene 31, 0:00
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Labour Party37%
Comparar plataformas· Labour party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
5.7 pts3a
37.4%
31.3%
20.2%
+5 resultados más
59 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total211,7 mil €
Volumen 24h23,2 €
KALSHI
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2a
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario55 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.