GeminiDatos verificados limitadosProbabilidad implícita actual
Gavin Newsom 17.5%Líder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado
51 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
313,1 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
19 feb 26, 22:0210 nov 28, 0:00
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Gavin Newsom18%
Comparar plataformas· Gavin Newsom
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general83% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 18% | 0pt | 1 M € | 96,5 M € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Polymarket88% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 20% | +2pt | 322,9 mil € | 64,6 M € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Media | 18% | 0pt | 313,1 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | |
 Myriad78% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 40% | +22pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets64% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 18% | 0pt | 7,9 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless94% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 20% | +2pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets88% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 20% | +2pt | — | — | hace 46 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets80% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 22% | +4pt | — | — | hace 18 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
19.7%
14.5%
9.3%
+3 resultados más
22 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total10,7 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
20.8%
-0.2pt16.7%
+0.7pt14.6%
+125 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total1094,6 M €
Volumen 24h322,9 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1a
20%
10%
8%
+14 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario21 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.7 pts2a
17.5%
-1.0pt14.6%
-2.0pt12.6%
+43 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total142,6 M €
Volumen 24h1 M €
KALSHITambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.2pt34.3%
-0.1pt21.7%
-0.1pt11.8%
+5 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario13 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Myriad
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
24.1 pts73a
+0.2pt39.6%
-0.2pt10.1%
-0.1pt8.4%
+29 resultados más
30 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
MYRIADTambién disponible en Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
20%
17.9%
16.7%
+19 resultados más
22 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total9,2 mil €
Volumen 24h7,9 €
SMARKETSReglas
2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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KALSHIMark Kelly — Nohace 9 h$6.8k97.0%KALSHIMark Kelly — Nohace 9 h
KALSHIMark Kelly — Nohace 9 h$1.1k87.0%KALSHIJon Ossoff — Nohace 9 h
KALSHIJon Ossoff — Nohace 9 h$2.9k87.0%KALSHIJon Ossoff — Nohace 9 h
KALSHIJon Ossoff — Nohace 9 h$1.1k87.0%KALSHIJon Ossoff — Nohace 9 h
KALSHIJon Ossoff — Nohace 9 h$17.9k87.0%KALSHIJon Ossoff — Nohace 9 h
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2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()