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Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
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KalshiReglas
Historical records of earthquakes on the West Coast of the US, particularly in California, go back to the 18th century, while the Spanish were occupying the region.
- The latest big earthquake was registered in July 2019, reaching a magnitude of 7 on the Richter scale.
- For quite some time now, scientists have predicted the occurrence of the "Big One", a major earthquake that would have its epicenter roughly 160 km from the US west coast, reaching magnitude 9 or above, and would hit hard from California to Vancouver, with both ground movement and tsunamis.
- The zone is thought to generate a huge quake every 200 to 530 years, and the last one was registered in 1700.
- Specialists say it is now just a matter of time until this catastrophic event happens.
- Will the "Big One" happens before the end of 2026? If by December 31st, 2026, an earthquake whose epicenter is located in the vicinity of Juan de Fuca plate has a magnitude of at least 9 in its epicenter and is felt in any part of the West Coast of the United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".