Fed

Above 0.00%

-1.0%87%

Above 0.25%

-5.0%83%

Above 0.50%

-4.0%83%

+15 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

10%

Cut 25bps

24%

Fed maintains rate

68%

+2 more outcomes

More than 50,000

84%

More than 100,000

-5.0%50%

More than 150,000

34%

+4 more outcomes

Above 0.00%

-4.0%85%

Above 0.25%

-5.0%85%

Above 0.50%

-5.0%85%

+15 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

9%

Cut 25bps

+5.0%26%

Fed maintains rate

+4.0%62%

+2 more outcomes

Exactly 0

28%

Exactly 1

27%

Exactly 2

28%

+10 more outcomes

Above 0.00%

-76.0%19%

Above 0.25%

-79.0%19%

Above 0.50%

+35.0%54%

+15 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

8%

Cut 25bps

15%

Fed maintains rate

66%

+2 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

10%

Cut 25bps

19%

Fed maintains rate

-4.0%61%

+2 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

8%

Cut 25bps

23%

Fed maintains rate

+7.0%67%

+2 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

10%

Cut 25bps

21%

Fed maintains rate

-1.0%59%

+2 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

10%

Cut 25bps

19%

Fed maintains rate

+9.0%69%

+2 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

10%

Cut 25bps

24%

Fed maintains rate

58%

+2 more outcomes

Before 2026

2%

Before 2027

9%

Before 2028

16%

+1 more outcomes

Cut >25bps

10%

Cut 25bps

20%

Fed maintains rate

55%

+2 more outcomes

Gavin Newsom

22%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

10%

Pete Buttigieg

11%

+7 more outcomes

Kevin Warsh

-0.6%95%

Judy Shelton

2%

Rick Rieder

1%

+1 more outcomes

Before Jan 19, 2026

2%

Before February 2026

1%

Before March 2026

1%

+3 more outcomes

Robin Smith

41%

Larry Householder

24%

Matt Borges

11%

+22 more outcomes

Below 300

11%

Between 300 and 349

10%

Between 350 and 399

15%

+9 more outcomes