Biggest Flips
Resolved markets whose winner looked least likely 24 hours before settlement. Only binary markets with a provider-verified resolution and a captured pre-resolution price qualify.
Coverage begins April 2026, when pre-resolution prices were first captured at settlement.
24h before: 3%
Sinner vs Cerundolo
78.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (81%)
+79.0pt80.2%
-78.0pt19.8%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$13.1M
24h Vol$13M
85 days ago
KALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 4%
Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
44.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Aarhus advances (49%)
-41.0pt52.9%
+44.0pt47.1%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$1.1M
22 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 4.3%
Will Graham Platner drop below 70% chance in the Maine Dem primary?
Closed
Resolved
Yes (97.8%)
97.8%
2.2%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
77 days agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS24h before: 5%
Ireland vs India
94.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Ireland (99%)
+94.0pt99%
-95.0pt1%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$8.2M
24h Vol$8M
56 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 6%
France vs England: First Half Spread
91.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
England wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals (98%)
+91.0pt99%
-13.0pt1%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$464.8K
24h Vol$414.7K
33 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 7%
Svajda vs Hewitt
Closed
Resolved
Cruz Hewitt (31%)
69.3%
30.7%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.6M
24h Vol$1.4M
25 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 7%
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
94.3 ptsClosed
Resolved
Yes
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$351.6K
97 days ago
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 8%
Team Liquid vs. Vitality
23.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Team Liquid (32%)
-22.0pt68.3%
+23.0pt31.7%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$786.8K
24h Vol$752K
27 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 8%
Boston vs A's: Outs Recorded
53.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Jack Perkins: 16+ (99%)
+91.0pt99%
-53.0pt1%
40 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$23.7K
24h Vol$21.8K
24 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 8%
Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík?
90.8 ptsClosed
Resolved
Yes
+90.8pt100%
-90.8pt0%
48 • Low qualityTight spreadLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$6.5K
24h Vol$1K
7 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 8%
FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?
91.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
No
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
22 • Low qualitySpread unknownLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$3.4K
24h Vol$933.9
70 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 9%
Top Esports vs. Team Secret Whales
89.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Team Secret Whales (99%)
+89.0pt99%
-91.0pt1%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity46pt disagreement
Total Vol$2.9M
24h Vol$2.9M
47 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 9%
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
91.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Yes
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$876.6K
24h Vol$830.2K
63 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 9%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
90.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Yes
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$88.8K
24h Vol$30.8K
71 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 10%
Riyadh Falcons vs. Los Angeles Thieves
36.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Riyadh Falcons (47%)
-31.0pt55.7%
+36.0pt44.3%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$350.1K
24h Vol$4.4K
35 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 10%
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?
90.3 ptsClosed
Resolved
Yes
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$37.2K
24h Vol$28.7K
49 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 11%
Los Angeles vs Minnesota
89.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Los Angeles (99%)
+89.0pt99%
-89.0pt1%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$5.3M
24h Vol$5.3M
14 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 11%
Connecticut vs Minnesota
87.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Connecticut (98%)
+87.0pt97%
-88.0pt3%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$4M
24h Vol$2.8M
45 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 11%
USA vs Belgium: Second Half Spread
1.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Belgium wins the 2H by more than 1.5 goals (20%)
+1.0pt20%
1%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$219.2K
24h Vol$180.3K
45 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 12%
330: Wells vs Uulu
87.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Jeremiah Wells (99%)
+87.0pt99%
-88.0pt1%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.6M
24h Vol$1.7M
5 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 12%
Vitality vs. B8
41.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
B8 (53%)
+41.0pt54.1%
-44.0pt45.9%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$310K
24h Vol$306.3K
7 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 12%
JiJieHao vs. Spirit
62.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
JiJieHao (74%)
+62.0pt72.5%
-62.0pt27.4%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$276.7K
24h Vol$178.6K
9 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI
