Biggest Flips
Resolved markets whose winner looked least likely 24 hours before settlement. Only binary markets with a provider-verified resolution and a captured pre-resolution price qualify.
Coverage begins April 2026, when pre-resolution prices were first captured at settlement.
24h before: 3%
Sinner vs Cerundolo
78.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (81%)
+79.0pt80.2%
-78.0pt19.8%
Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$13.1M
24h Vol$13M
111 days ago
KALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 4%
Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
44.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Aarhus advances (49%)
-41.0pt52.9%
+44.0pt47.1%
Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$1.1M
49 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 4.3%
Will Graham Platner drop below 70% chance in the Maine Dem primary?
Closed
Resolved
Yes (97.8%)
97.8%
2.2%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
103 days agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS24h before: 5%
Ireland vs India
94.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Ireland (99%)
+94.0pt99%
-95.0pt1%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$8.2M
24h Vol$8M
82 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 5%
Houston Christian vs Southeastern Louisiana
94.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Houston Christian (99%)
+94.0pt99%
-95.0pt1%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$257.6K
24h Vol$227.5K
19 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 5%
South Dakota Mines Hardrockers vs Drake
94.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
South Dakota Mines Hardrockers (99%)
+94.0pt99%
-93.0pt1%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$161.4K
24h Vol$149.8K
19 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 5%
Baybars / McCormick vs Kamath / Sharma
84.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Baybars / McCormick (87%)
+84.0pt87%
-97.0pt1%
Low quality (34)Wide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$48.2K
24h Vol$19K
20 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 6%
France vs England: First Half Spread
91.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
England wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals (98%)
+91.0pt99%
-13.0pt1%
Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$464.8K
24h Vol$414.7K
60 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 7%
Sweeny vs Musetti
92.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Dane Sweeny (99%)
+92.0pt99%
-93.0pt1%
Low quality (≤49)Spread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$13.8M
24h Vol$13.8M
13 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 7%
Svajda vs Hewitt
Closed
Resolved
Cruz Hewitt (31%)
69.3%
30.7%
Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.6M
24h Vol$1.4M
52 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 7%
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
94.3 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Yes
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$351.6K
123 days ago
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 8%
Team Liquid vs. Vitality
23.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Team Liquid (32%)
-22.0pt68.3%
+23.0pt31.7%
Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$786.8K
24h Vol$752K
54 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 8%
Boston vs A's: Outs Recorded
53.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Jack Perkins: 16+ (99%)
+91.0pt99%
-53.0pt1%
Low quality (40)Spread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$23.7K
24h Vol$21.8K
50 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 8%
Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík?
90.8 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Yes
+90.8pt100%
-90.8pt0%
Low quality (48)Tight spreadLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$6.5K
24h Vol$1K
34 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 8%
FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?
91.5 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
No
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
Low quality (22)Spread unknownLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$3.4K
24h Vol$933.9
96 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 9%
Top Esports vs. Team Secret Whales
89.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Team Secret Whales (99%)
+89.0pt99%
-91.0pt1%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadHigh liquidity46pt disagreement
Total Vol$2.9M
24h Vol$2.9M
73 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 9%
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
91.5 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Yes
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$876.6K
24h Vol$830.2K
90 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 9%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
90.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Yes
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$88.8K
24h Vol$30.8K
97 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET24h before: 9%
Baltimore vs New York M: Extra Innings
90.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Yes (99%)
+90.0pt99%
1%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$5.2K
24h Vol$3.6K
22 hours agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 10%
Jodar vs Bu
89.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Yunchaokete Bu (99%)
+88.0pt99%
-89.0pt1%
Low quality (≤49)Spread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$7.2M
24h Vol$7M
14 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 10%
Riyadh Falcons vs. Los Angeles Thieves
36.0 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Riyadh Falcons (47%)
-31.0pt55.7%
+36.0pt44.3%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$350.1K
24h Vol$4.4K
62 days agoKALSHI
KALSHI24h before: 10%
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?
90.3 pt (24h)Closed
Resolved
Yes
+0.9pt100%
-0.9pt0%
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLiquidity unknown
Total Vol$37.2K
24h Vol$28.7K
75 days agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
