What are the current odds for Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15??

Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of May 16, 2026.

When does Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? resolve?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? is scheduled to resolve on May 15, 2026.

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

94.3 pts (24h)

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: May 16, 2026, 3:29 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Winning Outcome

Yes

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

Surprise

Current implied probability

Yes 100%+0.9pt

Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$351.6K

Liquidity

$62K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

99.6% / 99.9%

Spread

0.3 pt

Tight spread

7d Change

+63.8 pts

Market data

Updated 97 days ago

Stale

May 7, 26, 4:14 PMMay 15, 26, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

+0.9 pts

100%

-0.9 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.