KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Aarhus advances (49%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 8:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Aarhus advances
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
4%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 7:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Lech Poznan advances 55%-41.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$460K
High liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 49.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 53 days ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 3:22 AM UTCAug 26, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Aarhus advances3%
Lech Poznan advances55%
55%
49%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2030 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers
KalshiWho will win the 2026–27 Premier League title?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup gross more money than the 2022 FIFA World Cup (inflation adjusted)?
Manifold MarketsWill any U.S. ally boycott the 2026 FIFA World Cup in the U.S.?
Manifold MarketsMessi to play for Argentina again after the 2026 WC by Dec 31, 2026
LimitlessWhich company will get the 2030 World Cup English-language US broadcast rights?
PolymarketRules
If Lech Poznan advance past Aarhus in the Lech Poznan vs Aarhus soccer match in the Qualification Round 2 of the Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi
- If Aarhus advance past Lech Poznan in the Lech Poznan vs Aarhus soccer match in the Qualification Round 2 of the Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIPHI Eagles vs TEN Titans
- Philadelphia+7.0pt83%
- Tennessee-7.0pt17%
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
- $5.1M
POLYMARKETLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- Game 1 Winner100%
- Game 2 Winner100%
- Game 3 Winner100%
+58 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.5M
KALSHIMIN Vikings vs CHI Bears
- Chicago-7.0pt60%
- Minnesota+6.0pt40%
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
- 24h Vol
- $3.1M
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Jacob Bridgeman+27.4pt31.7%
- Neal Shipley-21.0pt23.8%
- Ricky Castillo+14.0pt23.8%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIGB Packers vs NY Jets
- Green Bay+1.0pt62.4%
- New York J-1.0pt37.6%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Buffalo11%
- Los Angeles R9.3%
- Baltimore6.8%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $119.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
- PIT Steelers vs NE Patriots
- Philadelphia vs Tennessee: Spread
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
- CIN Bengals vs HOU Texans
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- CAR Panthers vs ATL Falcons
- Green Bay vs New York J: Spread
- Jaguars vs. Broncos
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Philadelphia vs Tennessee: Touchdowns
- Carolina vs Atlanta: Spread
- Minnesota vs Chicago: Spread
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lech Poznan vs Aarhus?
- Kalshi prices Lech Poznan advances at 55% as of July 29, 2026.
- When does Lech Poznan vs Aarhus resolve?
- Lech Poznan vs Aarhus is scheduled to resolve on August 26, 2026.
- How is Lech Poznan vs Aarhus settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Lech Poznan advance past Aarhus in the Lech Poznan vs Aarhus soccer match in the Qualification Round 2 of the Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes.