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Retail prediction exchange
Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Sep 4, 2026, 4:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 98%
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
—
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
Lagging
Apr 16, 26, 3:25 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Rules
This market shall resolve as Yes if the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, in the first ruling on the merits on KalshiEX, LLC v.
Assad, et al., subsequent to the launch of this market on April 16, 2026, issues an opinion or order by the End Date listed below, with the effect of allowing Kalshi to run markets on sports outcomes without permission or license from state governments.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
What are the current odds for Will the Ninth Circuit allow Kalshi's sports contracts in 2026??
PredictIt prices No at 98% as of September 4, 2026.
When does Will the Ninth Circuit allow Kalshi's sports contracts in 2026? resolve?
Will the Ninth Circuit allow Kalshi's sports contracts in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
How is Will the Ninth Circuit allow Kalshi's sports contracts in 2026? settled?
PredictIt settles this market as follows: This market shall resolve as Yes if the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, in the first ruling on the merits on KalshiEX, LLC v.