When does Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? resolve?

Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2022.

Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

Bitcoin Ethereum Solana

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 180 days ago

Stale

Nov 7, 22, 12:00 AM UTCDec 31, 22, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

Won

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX withdrawals for USDC, BTC, ETH and/or SOL are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET.

If a consensus of credible reporting states that FTX is insolvent by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will also resolve to “Yes.”
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FTX withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority users are unable to withdraw their USDC, BTC, ETH, and/or SOL from FTX.
If FTX suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of December (e.g FTX halts token withdrawals on December 30, 2022, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Dec 30 - Jan 6, 2022, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official information released by FTX, the leadership of FTX, and/or official representatives of FTX (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.