Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This is a market on whether the USD-denominated market capitalization of $ETH (Ethereum) will surpass that of $BTC (Bitcoin) at any time by December 31st, 2022, 11:59 PM ET, according to CoinGecko. The resolution source for this market will be the “Market Cap” statistic and historical data section on each of the respective cryptocurrency’s CoinGecko listings currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point in 2022 the market cap of $ETH is greater than that of $BTC, often dubbed “The Flippening”. If, by the resolution date, the market cap of $ETH was never greater than that of $BTC at any given state of time, according to CoinGecko, then this market will resolve to “No”. If the links to the sources change, the new changed link sources will be used. In the event that CoinGecko becomes permanently disabled or unavailable, CoinMarketCap will instead be referenced as the resolution source.
