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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?
Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?

15.0% (24h)RegulationYearlyForeign Exchange6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 35%-0.1%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$58.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

10.0% / 60.0%

Spread

500.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jun 12, 26, 3:37 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes35%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026.
  • Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
  • If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026.
  • Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
  • If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).