Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Binance, official representatives of Binance (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by January 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET that Binance.com is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy.
- This market will also resolve to "Yes" if Binance.com withdrawals for BTC and/or ETH are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days (168 hours) in a row by January 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this settlement criterion will be official information released by Binance, official representatives of Binance (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), and a consensus of credible reporting.
- If neither of the above criteria are met, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market only concerns Binance.com. Binance.us is not considered for this market.
- Binance.com withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority of users are unable to withdraw their BTC and/or ETH from Binance (E.g. If a majority of users are unable to withdraw their ETH from Binance, it will satisfy the condition.)
- If Binance.com suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of January (e.g. They halt token withdrawals on January 30, 2023, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days (168 hours) pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Jan 30 - Feb 6, 2023, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution.
