Current implied probability
OpenAI 64.8%Leader of 14 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$17.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:56 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.