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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Middle East
  3. Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

8.4% (24h)One-OffMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
No Meeting by June 30
No Meeting by June 30 73%+8.4%
Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality

100 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$80.1K

Liquidity

$598.9K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

72.2% / 72.9%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
7d Change

+24.4%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Apr 12, 26, 8:50 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

No Meeting by June 3073%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments.
  • Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
  • Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
  • The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media.
  • Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments.
  • Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
  • Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
  • The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media.
  • Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.