PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
The Hawk: Season 1 67%+22.0%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$45.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
66.0% / 68.0%
Spread
3.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 11:40 PMJul 28, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
The Hawk: Season 167%
Compare venues· The Hawk: Season 1
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall89% match · auto | High | 62% | -7pt | $49.9K | $154.3K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | High | 67% | -2pt | $1.1K | $45.7K | 9 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Top US Netflix Show this week?
1.0%4d
-1.0%62%
-15.0%29%
-2.0%1%
+8 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$188K
24h Vol$49.9K
KALSHIRules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k99.0%KALSHIThe Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4 — No13h ago
KALSHIThe Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4 — No13h agoVolume trend
$1.1kJul 232d of dataJul 24
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Rules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".