KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityThe Hawk: Season 1 67%-3.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$50.4K
Liquidity
$151.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
65.0% / 67.0%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 12:00 AMJul 28, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
The Hawk: Season 167%
Compare venues· The Hawk: Season 1
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall89% match · auto | High | 67% | 0pt | $1.1K | $44.4K | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | High | 67% | 0pt | $50.4K | $151.4K | 13 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
4d
67%
50%
50%
+15 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1K
24h Vol$1.1K
POLYMARKETRules
If The Hawk: Season 1 is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k99.0%KALSHIThe Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4 — No12h ago
KALSHIThe Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4 — No12h agoVolume trend
$50.4kJul 223d of dataJul 24
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Rules
If The Hawk: Season 1 is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.