PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 98%+0.3ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$39.2
Liquidity
$18.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.4 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 11:45 PMSep 8, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
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Rules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.
- If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
- The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for The Gentlemen: Season 2 is 1%. Quotes span about 3 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference The Gentlemen: Season 2 1% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Top Global Netflix Show this week? · Death of a pastors Wife 81%
