PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Up
Resolved: Oct 19, 2026, 11:03 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 11:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
UpWon
DownLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketWill Revolut launch a US Dollar stablecoin in 2026? [Ṁ10k liquidity]
Manifold MarketsUSDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026?
FutuurWhat will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?
LimitlessWill USD/TRY drop to 17.00 or lower before December 31, 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Argentina adopt the US Dollar by 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower.
- If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date.
- Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET.
