UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Combat SportsOne-OffSportsSoccer
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, 5:45 AM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Probability Timeline
Topuria to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
O/U 0.5 Rounds77%
Gaethje to win by KO/TKO?11%
O/U 2.5 Rounds32%
O/U 3.5 Rounds27%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 4.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?77%
Fight won by KO/TKO?Awaiting result
Gaethje to win by KO/TKO?Awaiting result
O/U 2.5 RoundsAwaiting result
O/U 3.5 RoundsAwaiting result
Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia TopuriaAwaiting result
O/U 0.5 RoundsAwaiting result
O/U 1.5 RoundsAwaiting result
Fight won by submission?Awaiting result
O/U 4.5 RoundsAwaiting result
Fight to Go the Distance?Awaiting result
Topuria to win by KO/TKO?Awaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs.
- It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
