PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Down
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 8:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 10:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Down 100%+50.0pt
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 14, 26, 12:00 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 16?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of September?
PolymarketTesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on September 16?
PolymarketWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsTesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices]
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on September 15, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on September 15, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
