PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%-0.1pt
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.1
Liquidity
$3.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.9% / 2.7%
Spread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 11:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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LimitlessWill Harry and Meghan divorce by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift divorce Travis Kelce within 5 years?
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
- Announcements of separations will not alone qualify.
- If Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce officially file for divorce without such an announcement, a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? resolve?
- Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.