PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability240-260m 47%-1.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.1K
Liquidity
$62.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 12.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+4.5%
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Jun 18, 26, 3:37 PMAug 2, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
240-260m47%
Volume trend
$7.1kJul 26d of dataJul 7
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Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
- If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
- If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.