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  3. SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

4.5% (24h)TechOne-OffSpace20d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
SpaceX
SpaceX 90%-0.0%
Market quality

79 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$1.5K

Liquidity

$6.4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

89.0% / 90.0%

Spread

1.1%

Tight spread
7d Change

-4.0%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 8:32 PMJul 1, 26, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

SpaceX90%

Rules

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for June 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
  • If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,957.29+2.90%EthereumETH$1,659.73+2.21%SolanaSOL$65.37+2.33%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.05%BNBBNB$597.01+2.13%XRPXRP$1.12+1.01%

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Rules

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for June 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
  • If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.