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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

7.0% (24h)ExchangeCustomTechSpaceEquitiesCorporate Actions
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Up
Up 75%+0.1%
Market quality

79 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$4.6K

Liquidity

$21.8K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

74.0% / 75.0%

Spread

1.4%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Up75%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
  • The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market.
  • The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
  • If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
  • Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.

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SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

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Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

$12.5K
↑$1.6T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

SpaceX IPO day's closing market cap

$1.4K
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Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?

$149.3
Yes: 32.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

$169.5
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
  • The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market.
  • The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
  • If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
  • Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.