PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 94%+0.0%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$305.3
Liquidity
$2.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
91.0% / 97.0%
Spread
6.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes94%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.
- If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
- Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.
- In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.