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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

8.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice
PolymarketPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 82%+0.1%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$53.1

Liquidity

$1.7K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

74.0% / 89.0%

Spread

20.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

+9.5%

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale
Mar 24, 26, 11:37 PMAug 1, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
+0.1%
82%
No
No
-0.1%
19%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day?

Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day?

12.0%1mo
Yes
Yes
-12.0%78%
No
No
22%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$55.9
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v.

Polymarket
  • Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case.
  • Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v.

Polymarket
  • Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case.
  • Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S.