PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability4 74%+17.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$17K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 27.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-62.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 5:30 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
474%
Volume trend
$3.2kJul 228d of dataJul 29
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This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
- Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered.
- Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
- Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.