PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 23°C
Resolved: Aug 30, 2026, 4:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
23°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
23°C 100%+50.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleAug 29, 26, 4:29 AM UTCAug 30, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
23°C90%
15°C or below1%
16°C0%
17°C0%
18°C1%
19°C1%
20°C0%
21°C0%
22°C0%
24°C48%
25°C or higher6%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
