PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 23°C
Resolved: Aug 30, 2026, 4:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
23°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
23°C90%
15°C or below1%
16°C0%
17°C0%
18°C1%
19°C1%
20°C0%
21°C0%
22°C0%
24°C48%
25°C or higher6%
23°CWon
15°C or belowLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
24°CLost
25°C or higherLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).