PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
15M+ 8%-0.1ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$4K
Medium liquiditySpread
11.5 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 7:00 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
- This market will not consider hours viewed.
- The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? · At least 6 million 99%