PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
475k to 500k 93%+2.9ptLeader of 9 outcomes
475k to 500k 93%+2.9ptMarket quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$60.8K
Liquidity
$41.8K
High liquiditySpread
6.7 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 11:46 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tesla total deliveries in Q3
KalshiTesla total deliveries in 2026
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KalshiWill Tesla's Q3 2026 vehicle deliveries match or beat its Q2 2026 total of 480,126?
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.
- If Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source.
- If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026? · 475k to 500k 94%