PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability92-93°F 46.6%-2.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$17.8K
Liquidity
$24.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
47.0% / 48.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 1:04 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92-93°F48%
Compare venues· 92-93°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 28, 2026?
20h
51.5%
21.4%
19.4%
+3 more outcomes
76 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$21.2K
24h Vol$20.6K
KALSHI
Also available on Gemini
Highest temperature in Miami on July 28, 2026?
19h
52.2%
21.2%
20.7%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$157
24h Vol$157
GEMINIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$17.8kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.