KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability90° to 91° 48.1%+21.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$77.1K
Liquidity
$53K
High liquidityBid / Ask
47.0% / 51.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 2:00 PMJul 29, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
90° to 91°51%
Compare venues· 90° to 91°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 51% | — | $77.1K | $53K | 27 minutes ago | |
 Gemini93% match · auto | Low | 48% | — | $441 | $0 | 27 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Gemini
Highest temperature in Miami on July 28, 2026?
10h
45.3%
43.9%
6.6%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$441
24h Vol$441
GEMINIRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 88°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 88-89°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$77.1kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 88°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 88-89°, then the market resolves to Yes.