KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability79° to 80° 45.7%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$33.3K
Liquidity
$25K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 47.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 2:00 PMJul 29, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
79° to 80°48%
Compare venues· 79° to 80°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Gemini
Highest temperature in NYC on July 28, 2026?
21h
47.8%
25.1%
16.4%
+3 more outcomes
43 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$30
24h Vol$30
GEMINI
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 28?
8.0 pts5h
+11.5pt34%
-2.5pt23%
+6.5pt16%
+8 more outcomes
72 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$52.1K
24h Vol$47.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 77°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 77-78°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$33.3kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 77°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 77-78°, then the market resolves to Yes.