PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: 80-81°F (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 4:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability80-81°F 100%+71.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$105.3K
Liquidity
$17K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 1:03 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
74-75°F9%
84-85°F8%
72-73°F10%
80-81°F100%
70-71°F0%
76-77°F18%
78-79°F23%
82-83°F0%
86-87°F1%
69°F or below0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$105.3kJul 273d of dataJul 29
Related Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.