PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability28°C 41.1%+7.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$45.9K
Liquidity
$42.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 8:04 AMJul 29, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
28°C44%
Volume trend
$45.9kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.